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ÇൺϣÄá¶û·Ò빫˾£¨www.joshualeeproperties.com£©2018Äê1ÔÂ9ÈÕÁ˽⵽£ºResearchers
at China¡¯s central bank have agreed that higher interest rates could be
appropriate in the near future thanks to improvements in industrial
prices and enterprise profitability, according to state media.
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State-run newspaper China Daily said on Monday that top researchers at
the People¡¯s Bank of China had recently agreed that higher rates would
¡°help to squeeze asset bubbles and restrain debt expansion, as a tool to
be used with broader oversight of financial activities.¡±
¹Ù·½±¨Ö½¡¶ÖйúÈÕ±¨¡·(China
Daily)ÖÜÒ»³Æ£¬ÖйúÑëÐи߼¶Ñо¿ÈËÔ±½üÆÚÒ»ÖÂÈÏΪ£¬¼ÓÏ¢¡°×÷ΪһÖÖÓÃÀ´¶Ô½ðÈڻʵʩ¸ü¹ã·º¼à¹ÜµÄÊֶΣ¬½«ÓÐÖúÓÚ¼·Ñ¹×ʲúÅÝĺÍÒÖÖÆÕ®ÎñÀ©ÕÅ¡£¡±
The paper quoted Ji Min, deputy head of the bank¡¯s research bureau, as
saying over the weekend that there ¡°is room for an increase in interest
rates in the short term as industrial product prices and enterprises¡¯
profitability have improved since last year¡±.
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The state-run daily wrote that a possible hike in interest rates, ¡°along
with the key lever of cutting the overcapacity of industrial producers,
would further improve producers¡¯ investment returns by curbing debt
expansion regardless of the costs of borrowing, according to the
officials.¡±
¸Ã±¨Ð´µÀ£¬¡°¹ÙÔ±Ãdzƣ¬£¨Ò»´Î¿ÉÄܵļÓÏ¢£©¸¨ÒÔÏ÷¼õ¹¤ÒµÆóÒµ¹ýÊ£²úÄܵĹؼüÊֶΣ¬½«ÒÖÖÆ²»¹Ë½è´û³É±¾µÄÕ®ÎñÀ©ÕÅ£¬´Ó¶ø½øÒ»²½ÌáÉýÆóÒµµÄͶ×ʻر¨¡±¡£
Yet China¡¯s financial markets and corporations did not stomach the
PBoC¡¯s rate hikes as well as their US counterparts last year, according
to Trinh Nguyen, Senior economist for emerging Asia at Natixis.
µ«·¨¹úÍâÃ³ÒøÐÐ(Natixis)ÐÂÐËÑÇÖ޸߼¶¾¼Ãѧ¼ÒÈî´¿(Trinh
Nguyen)±íʾ£¬È¥ÄêÖйú½ðÈÚÊг¡ºÍÆóÒµ²¢Ã»ÓÐÏû»¯µôÖйúÑëÐеļÓÏ¢ÒÔ¼°ÃÀ¹úµÄ¼ÓÏ¢¡£
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Ms Nguyen said in December that the Shanghai 3-month interbank lending
rate had ¡°shot up to reflect tighter liquidity and counter-party risks
of banks.¡±
Èî´¿È¥Äê12Ô±íʾ£¬3ÔÂÆÚÉϺ£ÒøÐмäͬҵ²ð·ÅÀûÂÊ(Shibor)¡°ÒѾԾÉý£¬·´Ó³³öÒøÐÐÁ÷¶¯ÐÔÇ÷½ôºÍ¶ÔÊÖ·½·çÏÕ¡£¡±
¡°Chinese stock indices (both Shenzhen and Shanghai) have under-performed
not just the US but also the Asia Pacific region due to tight monetary
conditions ¨C our Natixis Monetary Condition Index shows that China is
amongst the tightest,¡± she wrote.
¡°Öйú£¨ÉîÊкͻ¦ÊУ©¹ÉÖ¸µÄ±íÏÖ²»µ«²»ÈçÃÀ¹ú£¬Ò²²»ÈçÑÇÌ«µØÇø£¬ÔÒò¾ÍÔÚÓÚ»õ±Ò×´¿ö½ôÕÅ¡ª¡ªÎÒÃǵÄNatixis»õ±Ò×´¿öÖ¸Êý(Natixis
Monetary Condition Index)ÏÔʾ£¬ÖйúÊôÓÚ×î½ôÕÅÖ®ÁУ¬¡±ËýдµÀ¡£
The PBoC last raised rates for its Medium-term Lending Facility and
reverse repos by five basis points on December 14 following an overnight
rise of 25 bps by the US Federal Reserve overnight.
ÖйúÑëÐÐÉÏ´ÎÉϵ÷ÖÐÆÚ½è´û±ãÀû(Medium-term Lending
Facility)ºÍÄæ»Ø¹ºÀûÂÊÊÇÔÚÈ¥Äê12ÔÂ14ÈÕ¡£ÔÚÃÀÁª´¢(Fed)ǰҹ½«¸ôÒ¹ÀûÂÊÉϵ÷25¸ö»ùµãºó£¬ÖйúÑëÐÐÔÚ12ÔÂ14ÈÕ½«ÉÏÊöÀûÂʵ÷¸ßÁË5¸ö»ùµã¡£
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