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downfall in China was ¡®just matter of time¡¯
The detention of ¡°kamikaze¡± China hedge fund manager Xu Xiangfor alleged
insider trading after a manhunt was front page news, but to industry
insiders it was a downfall foretold.
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Renowned as ¡°captain¡± of the ¡°Limit-up Kamikaze Squad¡±, a loose-knit
group of fund managers centred on the port city of Ningbo, Mr Xu
favoured bets that were big, bold and bountiful.
ÐìÏèÆ«°®¸ß¶î¡¢´óµ¨¡¢±©ÀûµÄÏÂ×¢¡£¶øÒÔËûΪÊ×µÄËùν¡°ÕÇÍ£°å¸ÒËÀ¶Ó¡±£¬ÔòÊÇÖ¸ÒÔ¸Û¿Ú³ÇÊÐÄþ²¨ÎªÖÐÐĵÄһȺ×éÖ¯ËÉÉ¢µÄ»ù½ð¾Àí¡£
The squad¡¯s nickname salutes its ability to push stocks up by the 10 per
cent daily limit imposed by China exchanges.
¡°ÕÇÍ£°å¸ÒËÀ¶Ó¡±µÄ³ÆºÅ£¬ÊÇÔÚ³ÆËÌËûÃǽ«¹É¼Û³´¸ßÖÁ´¥¼°10%µÄÖйúÖ¤½»Ëùµ¥ÈÕÕÇ·ùÉÏÏÞµÄÄÜÁ¦¡£
In a market where many investors believe riches elude those who play by
the rules, Mr Xu¡¯s Zexi Investment Management
ÔÚÕâ¸ö±»Ðí¶àͶ×ÊÕßÈÏΪ×ñÊØÓÎÏ·¹æÔòÕßÓëÖ¸»ÎÞÔµµÄÊг¡ÖУ¬ÐìÏèµÄÔóÎõͶ×ʹÜÀí¹«Ë¾(Zexi Investment
Management)ÒýÆðÁËÈËÃǵϳÒÉ¡£
drew scepticism.
2015Ä꣬ÔóÎõÎåÖ»»ù½ð²úÆ·µÄ×ܻر¨ÂÊÔÚÖйúÅŵ½ÁËǰ20Ãû£¬ÆäÖÐÒ»Ö»ÃûÁаñÊס£×Ô2010ÄêÍÆ³öÒÔÀ´£¬¸Ã¹«Ë¾¡°ÔóÎõÒ»ÆÚ¡±»ù½ðÀۼƻر¨ÂÊÒÑ´ï3270%¡£
Five of Zexi¡¯s products ranked among the top 20 in China by total return
in 2015, with one taking the top spot. Its Series 1 fund has returned
3,270 per cent since launching in 2010.
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A hedge fund manager in Shanghai said: ¡°Xu¡¯s getting caught was just a
matter of time. It just came a bit earlier than expected.¡±
¸Ã»ù½ð¾Àí²¹³ä˵£¬ÐìÏèµÄÐÐΪÊÇ¡°¹«¿ªµÄÃØÃÜ¡±¡£
The manager added that Mr Xu¡¯s conduct had been ¡°an open secret¡±.
ÔÚºúÈó°Ù¸»°ñ(Hurun Rich
List)ÉÏ£¬ÐìÏèÊÇÖйúÅÅÃûµÚ188λµÄ¸»ºÀ£¬¹À¼ÆÉí¼Ò´ï140ÒÚÔªÈËÃñ±Ò£¨ºÏ22ÒÚÃÀÔª£©¡£¾¡¹ÜÈç´Ë£¬¶ÔÓڵ͵÷µÄÐìÏè¼°Æä¡°¸ÒËÀ¶Ó¡±³ÉÔ±£¬Íâ½çÖªÖ®ÉõÉÙ¡£Ö±µ½ÉÏÖÜÈÕÒÔǰ£¬ÍøÉÏ»¹ÕÒ²»µ½¾È·ÈϵÄËûµÄÕÕÆ¬¡£
Despite being ranked China¡¯s 188th wealthiest person on the Hurun Rich
List, with worth estimated at Rmb14bn ($2.2bn), little is known about
the low-key Mr Xu, pictured right, and his fellow kamikazes. Until
Sunday, no confirmed photos of him were available online.
²»¹ý£¬Ã½Ì屨µÀºÍ¶Ô»ù½ð¾ÀíµÄ²É·ÃÃè»æ³öÕâ¸ö¡°¸ÒËÀ¶Ó¡±µÄÐÎÏ󡪡ªËûÃÇÊÇÖйú×ʱ¾Êг¡¡°¿ñÒ°Î÷²¿¡±ÖеÄһȺ¸ÒÓÚÓÎ×ßÓÚ·¨ÂɱßÔµ£¨ÓÐʱ»¹»áÔ½½ç£©µÄͶ×ÊÕß¡£
But media reports and interviews with fund managers paint a portrait of
the squad as investors willing to operate at the frontiers of legality ¡ª
and sometimes beyond ¡ª in the wild west of China¡¯s capital markets.
Äþ²¨Åµ¶¡ºº´óѧ(University of Nottingham
Ningbo)½ðÈÚѧ½ÌÊÚ»ªÐãÆ¼±íʾ£º¡°Äþ²¨µÄ×ʱ¾¼ÒÓëÆäËûµØ·½²»Í¬¡£ËûÃǵķçÏÕÆ«ºÃºÜ¸ß¡£ÕâÖÖ¾«ÉñÓÐÒæÓÚÔÚÄþ²¨´´Òµ¡£È»¶ø£¬ÈȰ®¶Ä²©¶Ô½ðÈÚÊг¡µÄ³¤ÆÚ·¢Õ¹²¢ÎÞÒæ´¦¡£¡±
¡°Ningbo capitalists are different
»ªÐãÆ¼±íʾ£¬ÓëÆäËûµØ·½Ïà±È£¬Äþ²¨µÄͶ×ÊÕß¹Ø×¢µÄÊÇ¶ÌÆÚÊÕÒæ¡£¡°Ñо¿£¬ÂòÈ룬Âô³ö¡£Ò»Çж¼·¢ÉúµÃºÜ¿ì¡£¡±
from those in other places,¡± says Hua Xiuping, finance professor at
University of Nottingham Ningbo. ¡°Their appetite for risk is high. This
spirit has benefited entrepreneurship in Ningbo, but the love of
gambling isn¡¯t good for the ²Æ¾ÔÓÖ¾¡¶²ÆÐ¡·(Caixin)ÔøÔÚ2012Äê²É·Ã¹ýÐìÏè¡£¸ÃÔÓÖ¾±¨µÀ£¬1993Ä꣬18ËêµÄÐìÏè·ÅÆúÁËÖйú¸ß¿¼µÄ²Ð¿á¾ºÕù£¬´ø×Ÿ¸Ä¸¸øµÄ¼¸ÍòÔªÈËÃñ±Ò±¾Ç®½øÈë¹ÉƱÊг¡¡£
long-term development of financial markets.¡±
µ½ÉÏÊÀ¼Í90Äê´úÄ©£¬ËûºÍÀ´×ÔÄþ²¨µÄͬ°éÒÑÒòÆä¶Ô¸ß¶îÏÂ×¢µÄÆ«ºÃ¶øÓ®µÃÁË¡°ÕÇÍ£°å¸ÒËÀ¶Ó¡±µÄ´ÂºÅ¡£ÆäËû½»Ò×Ô±Ò²¿ªÊ¼¸ú×Ù·¢×ÔÄþ²¨½â·ÅÄÏÂ·ÒøºÓ֤ȯ(Galaxy
Securities)½»Ò×´óÌüµÄÂòÅÌ£¬Ñ°ÕÒÕâÖ§¸ÒËÀ¶ÓÆ«ºÃµÄ¹ÉƱµÄÏßË÷¡£
Mr Hua says that compared with other places, Ningbo investors are
focused on short-term gain. ¡°Research, buy in, sell out. Everything is
quick.¡± ¡°ÕÇÍ£°å¸ÒËÀ¶Ó×ܶæÖ÷¡±ÐìÏèÉÏÖÜÈÕ±»²¶
In 1993, an 18-year-old Mr Xu abandoned studying for China¡¯s ruthlessly
competitive university entrance exam, and borrowed several hundred
thousand renminbi from his parents to play the markets, according to
Caixin, a financial magazine that interviewed him in 2012.
ÐìÏèµÄ¡°¸ÒËÀ¶Ó¡±ÖÐÓиö³ÉÔ±Ãû½ÐÒ¶Çì¾ù£¬ÊǶغÍͶ×Ê(Dunhe
Investment)µÄ¶Ê³¤¡£Ëû°Ñ2003Äêͨ¹ýµÖѺ·¿×Ó½èÀ´µÄ10ÍòÔªÈËÃñ±Ò£¬´ÓͶ×Ê´ó¶¹ÆÚ»õ¿ªÊ¼£¬±ä³É100ÒÚÔªÈËÃñ±ÒµÄ²Æ¸»£¬ÕâÈÃËû±»ÓþΪ¡°ÖйúµÄÇÇÖÎ?Ë÷ÂÞ˹(George
Soros)¡±¡£
By the late 1990s he and associates from Ningbo had earned the ¡°Limit-up
Kamikaze¡± moniker for their penchant for high-stakes bets. Other traders
began monitoring buy orders coming from the Galaxy Securities trading
hall on South Liberation Road in Ningbo for clues about which stocks the
squad favoured.
½ñÄêÔçЩʱºò£¬Ò¶Çì¾ùÔøÒýÆðÈËÃǵĹØ×¢¡£µ±Ê±£¬°üÀ¨¶ØºÍÔÚÄڵĶàÖ»Öйú»ù½ð´ó¹æÄ£×ö¿ÕÆÚÍ¡£½»Ò×Ô±±íʾ£¬Õâ´Î×ö¿ÕµÄʱ»úÑ¡Ôñ¡°Ê®·ÖÍêÃÀ¡±¡£
Among his fellow kamikazes was Ye Qingjun, chairman of Dunhe Investment
µ±Ê±£¬Ò»Ãû½»Ò×Ô±±íʾ£º¡°Èç¹ûÄãÈÏΪÃÀ¹ú½»Ò×Ô±ºÜ¼¤½øµÄ»°£¬ÄÇôÕâЩ¼Ò»ïÔÚ½»Ò×¹æÄ£¡¢ËٶȺͷè¿ñ³Ì¶ÈÉÏÊÇÃÀ¹ú½»Ò×Ô±µÄÈý±¶¡£ËûÃǾÍÏñà¾ÁËÒ©Ò»Ñù¡£¡±
, known as ¡°China¡¯s George Soros¡± for parlaying a Rmb100,000 mortgage on
his home in 2003 into a Rmb10bn fortune, starting with a bet on soya
beans.
¡°ÕÇÍ£°å¸ÒËÀ¶Ó¡±²¢²»ÊÇËùÓн»Ò×¶¼Ò»·«·ç˳¡£2007Ä꣬ÐìÏèÀ´×ÔÄþ²¨µÄ»ï°éÖܽ¨Ã÷ÔøÒòÎ¥·¨½»Ò×±»Ã»Êպͷ£¿î350ÍòÔªÈËÃñ±Ò¡£Öйú֤ȯҵ¼à¹Ü»ú¹¹Ö¸¿ØÖܽ¨Ã÷ÔÚÌá½»Âòµ¥ºóÓÖ¿ìËÙ½«ÆäÈ¡Ïû¡£ÕâÖÖ¡°»ÏÆ¡±(spoofing)ÊÖ·¨Ö¼ÔÚÆÛÆÆäËûͶ×ÊÕߣ¬ÈÃËûÃÇÒÔΪ´æÔÚÇ¿¾¢µÄÐèÇó¶øÂòÈë¡£
Mr Ye gained attention earlier this year when China funds including
Dunhe took big short positions in copper futures, a bear attack that
traders said was ¡°beautifully¡± timed.
ÕâÖ§¡°¸ÒËÀ¶Ó¡±»¹Ïëµ½¶àÖÖ°ì·¨£¬¶ÔËûÃÇ´ÓÆäËûͶ×ÊÕßÄÇÀïÎüÒýµ½µÄ¹Ø×¢¼ÓÒÔÀûÓá£ÔÚÕâ¸öÐÄÀíÒòËØÍùÍù»áѹµ¹»ù±¾ÃæÒòËØµÄÊг¡ÖУ¬ËûÃÇ»áÀûÓÃÕâÖÖ¹Ø×¢À´Ó°ÏìÊг¡ÖеĴÓÖÚÐÐΪ¡£
¡°If you think American traders are aggressive, these guys are three
times as big and as fast and crazy,¡± said a trader at the time. ¡°It¡¯s
like they¡¯re on speed.¡±
ÐìÏè¼°ËûµÄ»ï°éÃÇÒÔÒ»ÖÖÀàËÆÓÚÀ¸ß³ö»õµÄ²ÙÅ̼¼Êõ¶øÎÅÃû¡£¶ÔÓÚ¹æÄ£½ÏС¡¢Á÷¶¯ÐԽϲîµÄ¹ÉƱ£¬ÕâÖÖ²Ù×÷ÓÈÆäÈÝÒס£Ò»µ©ÆäËûͶ×ÊÕß´ó¾ÙÓ¿È룬¡°¸ÒËÀ¶Ó¡±¾Í»á»ñÀû³ö»õ¡£
Not all the kamikazes¡¯ trades went smoothly. In 2007 Zhou Jianming, an
associate of Mr Xu from Ningbo, was fined Rmb3.5m for illegal trading
practices. China¡¯s securities regulator accused Mr Zhou of submitting
buy orders, which he then promptly cancelled ¡ª ¡° spoofing¡± aimed at
fooling other investors into buying on the back of perceived strong
demand. 2012Äê³õ£¬¾ÍÔÚÖØÇìÆ¡¾Æ(Chongqing
Brewery)¹É¼ÛÔÚ¼¸ÌìÄÚ´Óÿ¹É83ÔªÈËÃñ±ÒµøÖÁÿ¹É20ÔªÈËÃñ±ÒÖ®ºó£¬ÐìÏè´ó¾ÙÂòÈë¸Ã¹É¡£ÖØÇìÆ¡¾ÆÖ®Ç°ÔøìÕÇ£¬ÒòΪÆäÐû²¼Å¼È»·¢ÏÖÁËÒ»ÖÖ¿ÉÄܵÄÒÒ¸ÎÒßÃ磨ÕâÈÃÈ˲»Ì«¸ÒÏàÐÅ£©¡£
The kamikazes found ways of putting the attention they attracted from
other investors to advantage, using it to influence herd behaviour in a
market where psychology often trumps fundamentals.
ÔÚÖØÇìÆ¡¾Æ·¢²¼ÉùÃ÷±íʾ½øÒ»²½Ñо¿ÒѾʧ°Üºó£¬¹É¼Û±©µø¡£ÔóÎõÈ´Ôڵ͵ãÂòÈ룬ÎüÒýÆäËûÂò¼ÒËæÖ®È볡¡£ÐìÏèÔÚ´óԼÿ¹É35ÔªÈËÃñ±Ò¼ÛλÉÏÂô³ö£¬¼¸Öܺó¸Ã¹ÉƱÔÙ´Îϵø¡£
Mr Xu and his associates were known for their skill at da pan ¡ª ¡°pound
the board¡± ¡ª a technique akin to ¡°pump and dump¡±, though the Chinese
term does not necessarily imply illegality. The practice is especially
easy with smaller, illiquid stocks. Once other investors poured in, the
kamikazes sold at a profit.
ÐìÏ費ϲ»¶¡°¸ÒËÀ¶Ó¡±µÄ±êÇ©¡£2012ÄêËûÔøÏò¡¶²ÆÐ¡·±íʾ£º¡°ÕÇÍ£°å¸ÒËÀ¶ÓÊÇýÌå´µµÄ¡£Ö¤¼à»áû²é¹ý£¬ÕâÖÖ˵·¨Ã»Óиù¾Ý¡£¡±
in early 2012 just after the stock had fallen from Rmb83 to Rmb20 in a
few days. The stock had rocketed after the company announced,
improbably, that it had stumbled on a potential hepatitis-B vaccine.
The price collapsed after an announcement that further research had
failed. Zexi bought in at the low point, drawing in other buyers in its
wake. Mr Xu sold out at about Rmb35; within weeks the stock fell again.
Mr Xu eschewed the ¡°kamikaze¡± label. ¡°¡®Limit-up Kamikaze¡¯ was hyped up
by the media,¡± he told Caixin in 2012. ¡°The [securities regulator] has
never investigated us. This phrase isn¡¯t based on evidence.¡±
×¢£º²¿·ÖÐÂÎÅÀ´Ô´ÓÚÍøÂ·£¬ÈçÓÐÉæ¼°°æÈ¨£¬Ç뼰ʱ֪ͨÎÒÃÇ£¬ÎÒÃǽ«¾¡¿ìɾ³ý¡£
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